هذا القسم سيكون معون لنا في كتابة المواضيع التي تخص التحليل المالي والاقتصادي وشي من الاسهم واهم مواضيع الساعة ونكبة الاقتصاد العالمي والمحلي


نبدأ بالمواضيع التي كتبها البرادي وهي علي النحو التالي:

مقالنا الثاني لنفس اليوم: اعجبني هذا المقال الذي يفاضل الاقتصاد الاسلامي مع النظم الاقتصادية الاخرى. ارجوا قرات المقال لما له من فوائد جمة.


اجمل المواضيع في حياتي: التحليل المالي

نعم هذي حقيقة حتى وان كان الكثير يعتقد او يشعر بمرارة ويصعب التحدث عنها...تجربتي مع الاسواق المالية كانت اروع تجربة في حياتي....طبعا اكيد الكثير منا قد لايعجبه المقال...بس الذي جعلني اذكر هذا الموضوع هو اننا في النهاية كلنا يطبق التكلفة البديلة بشكل او باخر ...وما وجودنا في جامعتكم الموقرة الا من جراء حقيقة الفائدة الحدية من اضافة معلومات نعتقد لها وقع مختلف في زيادة مداخيلنا المستقبلية.

احببت ان انقل لكم بعض من كتاباتي في منتديات اقتصادية مختلفة واحببت ايضا اشارككم بعض من تجاربي في الحياة.

اتركم مع المقال




الايكونمي الحياتية....البرادي

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته: اخوة واخوات,,,, احببت نقل لكم هذا الموضوع الاقتصادي الذي اعتبرة موضوع يفيد في نظريات التمييز السعري. الموضوع يتحدث عن لماذا المغاسل عادة تاخذ اجور مرتفعة علي قمصان او ملابس الرجال مقارنة ببلايز او ملابس النساء؟ او بمعنى اخر ماالاسباب الاقتصادية التي خلقت هذا التمييز في الاسعار بين ملابس الرجال وملابس النساء؟

ارجوا ان يكون المقال علي قد الفائدة.


taken to the cleaners? Nobody can explain why laundries charge less for men's shirts than for women's.
By steven e. Landsburgposted friday, july 3, 1998, at 3:30 am et
my dry cleaner charges $1.65 to clean and press a man's shirt and $5.25 for a woman's blouse. What's going on here?
Print discuss e-mail rss recommend... Single page
yahoo! Buzz facebook myspace mixx digg reddit del.icio.us furl ma.gnolia sphere stumbleuponclosethe laws of arithmetic allow only two possibilities. Women's clothing must be associated either with higher costs or with higher profit margins for the dry cleaner. Unfortunately, neither theory seems terribly plausible.
Let's start with the "higher cost" theory. In its most naive form, this theory predicts that if i move the buttons on my dress shirts from the right side to the left, the cost of laundering them will more than triple. That one's not going to fly. So, to give the theory a fair chance, we have to look for more significant differences between men's and women's clothing.
Well, like what? You could argue that women's clothing is typically made of more delicate fabrics than men's. But if that's the relevant factor, why don't dry cleaners just quote different prices for different fabrics? (for some materials, such as silk, they typically do quote separate prices. The question is why this practice does not completely displace that of distinguishing between men's clothes and women's.)
an alternative version of the theory is that women's clothes are costlier to process because women demand higher quality work. I can't disprove that version, but i have no real evidence to support it, either. So, in a search for better alternatives, i called three different dry cleaners and asked for their explanations. The first said that men's shirts are machine pressed, while women's are hand pressed. That left me wondering why they don't simply quote different prices for different kinds of pressing. The second said that women's shirts require specialized treatment because they are typically doused with perfume. That left me wondering why men who use after-shave are not chronically dissatisfied with their dry cleaners. The third said that this was their pricing policy, and if i didn't like it, i was free to shop elsewhere.
In the absence of a clear, convincing story about gender-specific costs, let's see what kind of story we can tell about gender-specific profit margins. In other words, let's ask whether my dry cleaner is exploiting female customers through higher markups.
To make sense of that theory, you have to ask why dry cleaners would want to discriminate specifically against women, as opposed to, say, men. That strategy makes sense only if men are more price-sensitive than women and hence more likely to walk away in the face of a high markup. But why should men be more price-sensitive? You could argue that men are less diligent about cleanliness and so more likely to respond to high prices by wearing unlaundered shirts. But as long as we're dealing in stereotypes, you could argue equally well that women are more willing to do their own laundry--in which case women would be more likely to walk away from a high price, and it would make more sense to discriminate against men.
So it isn't clear which gender is the more natural candidate for getting soaked at the cleaners. But there's a more fundamental reason to doubt that either gender can be victimized by price discrimination, and here it is: There are over half a dozen dry cleaners within easy walking distance of my house. If they're all earning higher profits on women's blouses than on men's shirts, why hasn't any of them decided to specialize in women's blouses?
Let me make that more concrete. Suppose the going prices are $1.65 for a man's shirt and $5.25 for a woman's blouse, even though (under the theory we're currently entertaining) they are equally expensive for the cleaner to handle. Then if i were a dry cleaner, i would announce a uniform price of $5 for all shirts and blouses--thereby attracting all the women's business and none of the men's. Because nobody has adopted that obvious strategy, we should suspect that despite appearances, the profit margin on women's clothing can't be much higher than on men's.
In fact, the process wouldn't stop there. As soon as i announced a uniform price of $5, my neighbor would announce a price of $4.75. Ongoing competition for the (temporarily) more lucrative women's business would quickly eliminate any profit differential.
That argument rests on the fact that dry cleaners are highly competitive. If microsoft ran the entire dry cleaning industry, it might very well choose to discriminate against women (or men, depending on market conditions). But in the world we live in--or at least in the neighborhood i live in--there are so many interchangeable dry cleaners that none of them should be able to get away with exploiting anyone.
One of my colleagues' wives insists i've got this wrong--she says she's so loyal to her own dry cleaner that no discounter can lure away her business. If most customers are as devoted as she is, then each dry cleaner is like a mini-microsoft, with its own captive customer base. In that case, price discrimination can survive. But i am instinctively skeptical that many customers are as fanatically loyal as my colleague's wife.
The theory that only a monopolist can price discriminate is standard textbook fare, and it's borne out by a lot of observations. Movie theaters have a certain amount of monopoly power (on a given night, a given moviegoer is likely to have a strong preference for a particular movie at a particular theater), and they price discriminate by offering discounts to senior citizens (which is equivalent to discriminating against everybody under the age of 65). Airlines have even more monopoly power--once you know where and when you want to fly, you are likely to have an extremely limited choice of airlines--and they heavily discriminate against business travelers by charging more for midweek flights than for weekend flights (when most travel is for leisure).
By contrast, in the most competitive industries, there is no price discrimination. As i am fond of pointing out to my students, you've never heard of a wheat farmer who offers senior citizen discounts. Likewise for gas stations, which are ubiquitous and sell to everyone at a single price.
Well, at least that's what i used to tell my students. But i might have to make a small change in my lesson plan. The gas station nearest our campus has just announced a policy of senior citizen discounts on wednesday afternoons. Is this price discrimination in favor of seniors, or does it reflect a genuinely lower cost of serving them?
If you push me hard enough, i can probably concoct some kind of story about lower costs. Maybe seniors tend to drive cars with bigger gas tanks, so they buy 20 gallons at a time instead of 10, thereby saving on the cost of processing credit cards. (a significant part of that cost is the time spent waiting for the card to be approved, during which the pump is unavailable.) but if this cost saving is significant, why has only one local gas station recognized it? And why is it significant only on wednesdays?
I have suggested to my colleagues that none of us should be permitted to present ourselves to the world as economists until we figure out what this gas station is up to. Nobody has risen to the challenge. A few have suggested that perhaps the gas station owner is just a little quirky. Maybe that's right. But it would be far harder to believe that the entire dry cleaning industry is just a little quirky. Either there is enough monopoly power to sustain price discrimination, or there is some reason why women's clothes are incredibly expensive to clean and press. But i have no idea which.

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته...

هذا مقال من الصفحة الاولي من صفحات الياهو ...يتحدث عن احتمالية افلاس اكثر من 15 شركة لعام 2009 الحالي من الشركات التي لها الوزن الكبير ...ولا ننسى ان بعض هذه الشركات اظن درسناها كامثلة من خلال مادة التسويق.


15 Companies That Might Not Survive 2009
Rick Newman
Friday February 6, 2009, 11:53 am EST
Yahoo! Buzz Print Who's next?

With consumers shutting their wallets and corporate revenues plunging, the business landscape may start to resemble a graveyard in 2009. Household names like Circuit City and Linens 'n Things have already perished. And chances are, those bankruptcies were just an early warning sign of a much broader epidemic.

Moody's Investors Service, for instance, predicts that the default rate on corporate bonds - which foretells bankruptcies - will be three times higher in 2009 than in 2008, and 15 times higher than in 2007. That could equate to 25 significant bankruptcies per month.

We examined ratings from Moody's and data from other sources to develop a short list of potential victims that ought to be familiar to most consumers. Many of these firms are in industries directly hit by the slowdown in consumer spending, such as retail, automotive, housing and entertainment.

But there are other common threads. Most of these firms have limited cash for a rainy day, and a lot of debt, with large interest payments due over the next year. In ordinary times, it might not be so hard to refinance loans, or get new ones, to help keep the cash flowing. But in an acute credit crunch it's a different story, and at companies where sales are down and going lower, skittish lenders may refuse to grant any more credit. It's a terrible time to be cash-poor.

[See how Wall Street continues to doom itself.]

That's why Moody's assigns most of these firms its lowest rating for short-term liquidity. And all the firms on this list have long-term debt that Moody's rates Caa or lower, which means the borrower is considered at least a "very high" credit risk.

Once a company defaults on its debt, or fails to make a payment, the next step is usually a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing. Some firms continue to operate while in Chapter 11, retaining many of their employees. Those firms often shed debt, restructure, and emerge from bankruptcy as healthier companies.
But it takes fresh financing to do that, and with money scarce, more bankrupt firms than usual are likely to liquidate - like Circuit City. That's why corporate failures are likely to be a major drag on the economy in 2009: In a liquidation, the entire workforce often gets axed, with little or no severance. That will only add to unemployment, which could hit 9 or even 10 percent by the end of the year.

[Want to land a plum job without paying taxes? Here's how.]

It's possible that none of the firms on this list will liquidate, or even declare Chapter 11. Some may come up with unexpected revenue or creative financing that helps avert bankruptcy, while others could be purchased in whole or in part by creditors or other investors. But one way or another, the following 15 firms will probably look a lot different a year from now than they do today:

Rite Aid. (Ticker symbol: RAD; about 100,000 employees; 1-year stock-price decline: 92%). This drugstore chain tried to boost its performance by acquiring competitors Brooks and Eckerd in 2007. But there have been some nasty side effects, like a huge debt load that makes it the most leveraged drugstore chain in the U.S., according to Zacks Equity Research. That big retail investment came just as megadiscounter Wal-Mart was starting to sell prescription drugs, and consumers were starting to cut bank on spending. Management has twice lowered its outlook for 2009. Prognosis: Mounting losses, with no turnaround in sight.

Claire's Stores. (Privately owned; about 18,000 employees.) Leon Black's once-renowned private-equity firm, the Apollo Group, paid $3.1 billion for this trendy teen-focused accessory store in 2007, when buyout funds were bulging. But cash flow has been negative for much of the past year and analysts believe Claire's is close to defaulting on its debt. A horrible retail outlook for 2009 offers no relief, suggesting Claire's could follow Linens 'n Things - another Apollo purchase - and declare Chapter 11, possibly shuttering all of its 3,000-plus stores.

[See 5 pieces missing from Obama's stimulus plan.]

Chrysler. (Privately owned; about 55,000 employees). It's never a good sign when management insists the company is not going out of business, which is what CEO Bob Nardelli has been doing lately. Of the three Detroit automakers, Chrysler is the most endangered, with a product portfolio that's overreliant on gas-guzzling trucks and SUVs and almost totally devoid of compelling small cars. A recent deal with Fiat seems dubious, since the Italian automaker doesn't have to pony up any money, and Chrysler desperately needs cash. The company is quickly burning through $4 billion in government bailout money, and with car sales down 40 percent from recent peaks, Chrysler may be the weakling that can't cut it in tough times.

Dollar Thrifty Automotive Group. (DTG; about 7,000 employees; stock down 95%). This car-rental company is a small player compared to Enterprise, Hertz, and Avis Budget. It's also more reliant on leisure travelers, and therefore more susceptible to a downturn as consumers cut spending. Dollar Thrifty is also closely tied to Chrysler, which supplies 80 percent of its fleet. Moody's predicts that if Chrysler declares Chapter 11, Dollar Thrifty would suffer deeply as well.

Realogy Corp. (Privately owned; about 13,000 employees). It's the biggest real-estate brokerage firm in the country, but that's a bad thing when there are double-digit declines in both sales and prices, as there were in 2009. Realogy, which includes the Coldwell Banker, ERA, and Sotheby's franchises, also carries a high debt load, dating to its purchase by the Apollo Group in 2007 - the very moment when the housing market was starting to invert from a soaring ride into a sickening nosedive. Realogy has been trying to refinance much of its debt, prompting lawsuits. One deal was denied by a judge in December, reducing the firm's already tight wiggle room.

[See why "Wall Street talent" is an oxymoron.]

Station Casinos. (Privately owned, about 14,000 employees). Las Vegas has already been creamed by a biblical real-estate bust, and now it may face the loss of its home-grown gambling joints, too. Station - which runs 15 casinos off the strip that cater to locals - recently failed to make a key interest payment, which is often one of the last steps before a Chapter 11 filing. For once, the house seems likely to lose.

Loehmann's Capital Corp. (Privately owned; about 1,500 employees). This clothing chain has the right formula for lean times, offering women's clothing at discount prices. But the consumer pullback is hitting just about every retailer, and Loehmann's has a lot less cash to ride out a drought than competitors like Nordstrom Rack and TJ Maxx. If Loehmann's doesn't get additional financing in 2009 - a dicey proposition, given skyrocketing unemployment and plunging spending - the chain could run out of cash.

Sbarro. (Privately owned; about 5,500 employees). It's not the pizza that's the problem. Many of this chain's 1,100 storefronts are in malls, which is a double whammy: Traffic is down, since consumers have put away their wallets. Sbarro can't really boost revenue by adding a breakfast or late-night menu, like other chains have done. And competitors like Domino's and Pizza Hut have less debt and stronger cash flow, which could intensify pressure on Sbarro as key debt payments come due in 2009.

Six Flags. (SIX; about 30,000 employees; stock down 84%). This theme-park operator has been losing money for several years, and selling off properties to try to pay down debt and get back into the black. But the ride may end prematurely. Moody's expects cash flow to be negative in 2009, and if consumers aren't spending during the peak summer season, that could imperil the company's ability to pay debts coming due later this year and in 2010.

Blockbuster. (BBI; about 60,000 employees; stock down 57%). The video-rental chain has burned cash while trying to figure out how to maximize fees without alienating customers. Its operating income has started to improve just as consumers are cutting back, even on movies. Video stores in general are under pressure as they compete with cable and Internet operators offering the same titles. A key test of Blockbuster's viability will come when two credit lines expire in August. One possible outcome, according to Valueline, is that investors take the company private and then go public again when market conditions are better.

Krispy Kreme. (KKD; about 4,000 employees; stock down 50%). The donuts might be good, but Krispy Kreme overestimated Americans' appetite - and that's saying something. This chain overexpanded during the donut heyday of the 1990s - taking on a lot of debt - and now requires high volumes to meet expenses and interest payments. The company has cut costs and closed underperforming stores, but still hasn't earned an operating profit in three years. And now that consumers are cutting back on everything, such improvements may fail to offset top-line declines, leading Krispy Kreme to seek some kind of relief from lenders over the next year.

Landry's Restaurants. (LNY; about 17,000 employees; stock down 66%). This restaurant chain, which operates Chart House, Rainforest Café, and other eateries, needs $400 million in new financing to finalize a buyout deal dating to last June. If lenders come through, the company should have enough cash to ride out the recession. But at least two banks have already balked, leading to downgrades of the company's debt and the prospect of a cash-flow crunch.

Sirius Satellite Radio. (SIRI - parent company; about 1,000 employees; stock down 96%). The music rocks, but satellite radio has yet to be profitable, and huge contracts for performers like Howard Stern are looking unsustainable. Sirius is one of two satellite-radio services owned by parent company Sirius XM, which was formed when Sirius and XM merged last year. So far, the merger hasn't generated the savings needed to make the company profitable, and Moody's thinks there's a "high likelihood" that Sirius will fail to repay or refinance its debt in 2009. One outcome could be a takeover, at distressed prices, by other firms active in the satellite business.

Trump Entertainment Resorts Holdings. (TRMP; about 9,500 employees; stock down 94%). The casino company made famous by The Donald has received several extensions on interest payments, while it tries to sell at least one of its Atlantic City properties and pay down a stack of debt. But with casino buyers scarce, competition circling, and gamblers nursing their losses from the recession, Trump Entertainment may face long odds of skirting bankruptcy.

BearingPoint. (BGPT; about 16,000 employees; stock down 21%). This Virginia-based consulting firm, spun out of KPMG in 2001, is struggling to solve its own operating problems. The firm has consistently lost money, revenue has been falling, and management stopped issuing earnings guidance in 2008. Stable government contracts generate about 30 percent of the firm's business, but the firm may sell other divisions to help pay off debt. With a key interest payment due in April, management needs to hustle - or devise its own exit strategy.

- With Carol Hook, Danielle Burton and Stephanie Salmon

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته...يبدوا ان التحليل الفني بدا يعطي لنا مؤشرات سيئة للايام القادمة...حيث يخشي هذه المرة سقوط سعر النفط البترول تحت سقف ال30 دولار وقد يكون الاتجاه الي مستوى ال20 دولار . علي هذا الاساس فانه وبما ان العلاقة او النسبة مابين الذهب والبترول هي 10 الي 1 فانه ايضا ومن تحليل الذهب يخشى علي الذهب السقوط الحر والي مستويات تاريخية حيث لربما سقوط الذهب علي مراحل ولكن الهدف سيكون مابين ال500 الي 400 دولار للاونصة. اذا استمر سعر البترول بالنزول الي مستوى ال20 دولار فانه يخشى علي مؤشرات الاسهم الخليجية وبالاخص السعودية النزول الي مستويات متدنية قد تصل بنا الي مستوى 3000 نقطة. الذهب اعطى فجوة من نوع سيئة جدا ولا ننسى والحال هذا فاننا نتوقع هذه السنة ستكون الاسواق عامة خاملة وعلي غير استقرار. يبقى هذا تحليل فني قابل للتغير من جراء اخبار والامر بالاخير بيد الله سبحانه.

ارفقت لكم مخطط الذهب علي التحليل اليومي والذي يبين مؤشر الارون وهذا ايضا اعطى اشارات سلبية علي المدى المتوسط والطويل.الا انه يبقى جانب واحد ايجابي وهو في حال تحقق ماقلنا به فانه يعتقد نزول مستوى او معدل التضخم في الاسعار المواد عامة وهذا قد يكون جيد للمواطن والله اعلم.

http://www2.0zz0.com/2009/02/10/20/950034808.png (http://www.0zz0.com)

نلاحظ الان ان البترول او سعر النفط الاسود صار 36 دولار والذهب ارتفع علي عكس المتوقع الي 940 دولار للاونصة وبذلك اصبحت النسبة: ذهب:بترول 940\36 = 26 وقد يستمر الذهب بالصعود الي اعلي ونزول البترول الي اسفل لتصبح النسبة مابين 30 الي 35 وهنا تكمن الكاثرة . تارخيا اذا اصبحت النسبة فوق 30 يعني سقوط الذهب سقوط حر اي انهيار كامل ليعاود الي النسبة مابين 10-12 اي قد نرى الذهب بحدود 500 ثم يستمر ليرجع الي حدود 200-380 لاحقا في نهاية السنة الحالية 2009 والله اعلم.

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته:


اخواني اخواتي...لن يتحسن ايا من اسواق العالم حتى تنهار القيمة السعرية للذهب. الفرضية التي اقدمها هنا ومن خلال التاريخ والتحليل التقني الفني وليس من جراء تكهن تنجيمي وهي كما نعلم منذ عام 2005 راينا ان الذهب لم يكن الشرارة التي اشعلت الصعود ولكن كان المحفز للطلوع هو البترول....ثم لحق الذهب الاصفر الذهب الاسود اي كان تابع له. الان وبعد مايقارب ال4 سنوات منذ ذلك الطلوع الازلي...نلاحظ انهيار جميع المواد الاستهلاكية وبما فيها القائد البترول وبقي الان ان ينهار القائد الهرم الذهب الاصفر. كيف نفسر هذه الفرضية؟ بسهوله نجد وبما ان العالم خائف اجمعه من اثار النكسة التي سببها النظام الاقتصادي الراسمالي المتمثل بامريكا..كان علي الجميع اخذ ممتلكاتهم ووضعها في الذهب اي لايريدون اوراق نقدية قد تكون فقدت معناها الثمني...فهم قابعون في الذهب حتى اشعار اخر. طبعا الاشعار الاخر المقصود به هو الاستثمار في العقار, الاسهم, البنيات التحتية للدول, الصناعة , وهذه الان صححت اكثر من 55% من قيمها الدفترية. الذي يحدث ان هولاء الذين هم قابعون في الذهب بالطبع لن يتذوقوا طعم اكل الذهب لابد من تحريك استثماراتهم تبعا للسوق...لذا قد يحدث انهم يبدؤون بالبيع او الهروب التدريجي او حتى الجماعي من الذهب ليحولوا اموالهم الي نقد وهنا تبدا النقطة الحقيقة لدخول الاسواق. طبعا سيظل البترول ينزل سعريا حتى يسحب سعر الذهب للاسفل الي ان تصبح النسبة ما بينهما بين ال10 الي 12 وبالتالي سيستقر سعر البترول وهنا قد نقول انتهت الازمة العالمية...ولكــــن لحظة فان هذا لن يحدث مابين ليلة وضحاها.

يعطيك العافية اخوي البرادي على المقالات القيمة والمفيدة

One definition of the word intelligent is: if you agree with me, you are intelligent
If you disagree with me, you are a moron

مقال واقعي،، أنشالله يعجبكم:)

One definition of the word intelligent is: if you agree with me, you are intelligent

If you disagree with me, you are a moron


مقال واقعي،، أنشالله يعجبكم:)


;) Become an entrepreneur

وعلى قولة/
Craig Karmin’s
في الـ
Biography of the Dollar


عساك عالقوه أماني . .

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته:

Extremely nice u topic that spotlight in internal/external the market through firm’s analyses either your information is modern with highest and lowest the incoming by internal coefficients ( profit, cost, benchmark and global market and more of analytical ways.

I would issue one example than you could notion! that if you remember previous 5 months a go: with America government has been supported/ helped in cars situation which are already dead/lost with the eventual quarter of diminishing return( profit). The internal evaluation than beyond external selling such as for few branded ( GAM motors Ford, Dooj and more of their models ) so; that differentiation in America market with the eventual result is should equal and reflect with out-market. if amirica market slope going down we’re also going down with our-slope. (no-equilibrium) and the determent an (inelasticity region because the profit are shifted right region.
Thus, it seem like that the declining by>>>> prices , spar part ,equipment , shipping services and also transportation) these factors will be reflect directly to customer worth and right as well as the government at least should ask or have a good investigate about the prices, promotion planning per annual. the committed agencies in us are( ALJOMIH, ALZAHID AND ALTWKILAT) either these prominent agencies are represented at (wto org. منظمة التجارة العالمية) to selling those offered liked cares and more. But I don’t see the relative importance among in- market and out-market to decrease actual cost after America situation.


With our god my brother


GM-Men

As a few of illustration

انظر الى هذا التقرير المفصل اللذي يعكس مدى وعي المستهلك واطلاعة في الاسواق العالمية_ ومدى ردودة ونعكاسة تجاه الوكالات بعد هذا التقرير) )
السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته:

http://www.7ail.net/vb/thread45140.html

أصـــــداء - حملة خلها تصـــــدي


أفاد مذيع قناة الإخبارية المعيقل في برنامج اقتصاديات بتاريخ 15/12/2008 م بأنه حاول الاتصال على أربع من أكبر وكلاء السيارات في المملكة العربية السعودية وجميعهم رفضوا المشاركة في البرنامج وأفادوا



( لا يجب أن تصل فكرة كهذه إلى المواطن السعودي )

والله ثم والله بأن هذه إفادتهم



حسبي الله ونعم الوكيل على الجشع والطمع ، وكأن الناس تعيش في القرن الثامن عشر ولا تعلم ما يحدث في أرجاء المعمورة ....

إن أزمة صناعة السيارات الأمريكية في أوجها والوكلاء بالسعودية يريدون أن يساعدون كبرى الشركات الأمريكية على حساب المواطن ،،،،



والأدهى والأمر أن هناك ارتفاع بنسبة 12% في أسواقنا ........ وأنظر إلى بقية العالم ...........


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18833.gif (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18833)




انخفاض كبير في المبيعات ... مقارنة بالسنة الماضية



http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18834.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18834)



لا يوجد مشــــتري ...


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18835.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18835)




مئات الالاف من السيارات المكدسة وخطر الافلاس


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18836.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18836)




العروض الترويجية بدون فوائد لخمس سنوات ؟؟؟؟


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18837.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18837)


سيارات جديدة .... وأزمة حقيقية


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18838.gif (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18838)


انظر انخفاض أسهم فورد ..... ما بقى شي على الافلاس



http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18839.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18839)



مرة أخرى مئات الألاف من السيارات المكدسة ... ووكلائنا يقولون الاسعار راح ترتفع


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18840.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18840)




مرة أخرى ... بدون فوائد لمدة طويلة جداً بغرض الترويج .. .. .. ولا حياة لمن تنادي


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18841.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18841)




أنظر بنفسك ................. الأزمة حقيقية .... ووكلائنا يريدون التعتيم وسرقة المواطن



http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18842.gif (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18842)



أنظر الى جدول المبيعات الامريكية


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18843.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18843)




مرة أخرى ....


الصورة تتحدث ....

http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18844.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18844)




الإفلاس قادم لا محالة ....


http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18845.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18845)






أنظر إلى السعر .....



http://www.up.7ail.net/files/18846.jpg (http://www.up.7ail.net/index.php?action=viewfile&id=18846)




اخيرا,,
قد يكون المنتج الاوروبي (كالمرسدس والبي ام والجاكور الرياضية والسيارات الفرنسية الرائعة اللتي ليست لها وكالات وموزعين في بلدنا بعد زيارتي الاخير لذلك الموطن وكانك تشاهد قطعة فنية تتحرك في شارع (الشنزي ليزاي)
حيث المنتج الاوروبي هو الاجمل في عين المشتري حيث لديها المصداقة و الاقتصادية في الاسواق الخارجية وان كانت تكلفتعا باهظة.

ولكن لولا الاذواق لبارة السلع,,

اخير امل قد وفقة الى ايصال التحليل الفعلي (لاسواقنا)
وفي حفظ الله ورعايتة اخي البرادي
اخوك GM-Men

مشكور اخوي GM-Men علي الكم النوعي من المعلومات...وبالمناسبة هذه اخي تجدني احيانا اجد صعوبات في تهجي اسمك

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته :

هنا نبدا اعطاء امثلة وشروحات علي التحليل الفني والاساسي للاسهم باستخدام اليوتيوب


Understanding Stock Trading Technical Analysis Tutorial w/ the Zecco Zirens

الدرس #1 : MACD, Stochastic and Volumes
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_7JrmF90ek

الدرس#2: Understanding Stock Trading Fundamental Analysis Tutorial w/ the Zecco Zirens
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpMJEBMUWo4&feature=related

الدرس#3: Investing Basics Tutorial w/ the Zecco Zirens
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50PBUcwfe-w&feature=channel

الدرس#4 : Call Options Education w/ the Zecco Zirens
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifbXS-A7jKg&feature=channel

الدرس#5: Covered Call Options Education w/ the Zecco Zirens
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qrUdJDY3S1E&feature=channel

الدرس#6 : Put Options Education w/ the Zecco Zirens
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I-dLKVhTWfk&feature=channel

[B][CENTER][FONT="Comic Sans MS"][SIZE="6"][COLOR="Black"]السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته :

هنا نبدا اعطاء امثلة وشروحات علي التحليل الفني والاساسي للاسهم باستخدام اليوتيوب


Stock Market Tutorial #1 Financial Basics
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jlNYziQeE_U&feature=related

Stock Market Tutorial #2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TannEwWNFP0&feature=channel

الدرس عن ال MACD
Technical Analysis Indicator MACD part one
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OR8vwFv-5iU

Technical Analysis Indicator MACD part two
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hz4tuWGQqfo&feature=related

Technical Analysis Indicator MACD part three
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ybk72R9_90&feature=related

لان وكلاء السيارات عنددنا معظمهم ليس بسعوديين انما جاءوا مسترزقة وعايشين في القرون الوسطى ولايشاهدون العالم من حولهم مايدرون ان الوقت الحاضر كل انسان يقرا ويسمع وواعي لمايحدث اما التاجر مسكين من الجشع مايحصل له ان يشاهد اولادة ، والله ياجماعة من واقع تجربه نحن سيطروا علينا الاجانب بكل شي 99% من المحلات التجارية للاجانب السعودي فقط الاسم والمحل يدخل خير وهدا الاجنبي يعيش على سندويش وبييبسي ويكرهك وهو ياخد من خيرات بلدك وعندما يريد حاجة يشتريها يشتري من بني جلدته لانه مايريد يصرف شي بالبلد ولاحظوا دلك انهم شبعوا ولللاسف لاحسيب ولارقيب ونحن شبابنا حتى في الشركات محارب والهندي مقدس لانه كل شي يعمله لرئيسة مستعد حتى البيت ينظفه له والله السمتعان ، ودمتم

مشكور اخوي عبدالله







http://www7.0zz0.com/2009/02/25/16/677340044.gif (http://www.0zz0.com)

http://www7.0zz0.com/2009/02/25/17/297504357.jpg (http://www.0zz0.com)

السلام عليكم اخواني اخواتي عشاق التحليل الفني للاسهم...اليوم راجعت سوق العملات والذهب والبترول فوجدت ان البترول مشكل فجوة من النوع الخطير والتي يعتقد بانه سينزل لتعبائتها مرة اخرى. اتركم مع الرسمة الدالة علي نزول البترول للمستقبل القريب.





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http://www7.0zz0.com/2009/02/25/16/677340044.gif (http://www.0zz0.com/)


http://www7.0zz0.com/2009/02/25/17/297504357.jpg (http://www.0zz0.com/)

اليوم سنقدمم لكم درس في المتوسطات المتحركة وهي تعتبر اهم العوامل في التحليل الفني التي تدل علي نهاية او بداية موجة سواء صاعدة او هابطة. اتركم مع الشر
ولاحقا سنقدم لكم انطباعنا بعد عدة دروس من الان.

Magic Moving Average?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0Me9jkmWLg (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0Me9jkmWLg)


18. How to Trade Moving Averages Like a Pro Part 1

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gw-1AhbYP8Q&feature=related (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gw-1AhbYP8Q&feature=related)

19. How toTrade Moving Averages Like a

Pro Part 2

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25WiPIndXtA



Moving Averages Give Structure
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AB9HfgDwIU&feature=PlayList&p=FA6D7E2187732184&index=17


Median Lines
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NzjP-WIlXP4&feature=PlayList&p=FA6D7E2187732184&index=19

استاذي القدير البرادي لماذا تعتقد ان الذهب لابد ان يهبط لكي تتحسن الاسواق اقصد العالم؟ هل برايك الدجل والكذب علي الشعوب هو سبب سرقة الدول شعوبها باسم مدري ايش البعبوع الايراني, ومدري ايش البترول رايح ينتهي...الخ. استمتعت بطريقة شرحك وحاب تشركني معك في الحوار اسلوب مميز وجميل من انسان مثقف. برضوا انا اشعر بانك تغالي بالامر اصلا الاسهم انتهت واظن اني سمعت بل قراءت ان دول اليورو رايح يفككوا العملة. اما الاسهم الخليجية بنظري انها لاينطبق عليها التحليل بكل انواعه لانها شركات معظمها وهمية وباسامي خيالية.

استاذي القدير البرادي لماذا تعتقد ان الذهب لابد ان يهبط لكي تتحسن الاسواق اقصد العالم؟ هل برايك الدجل والكذب علي الشعوب هو سبب سرقة الدول شعوبها باسم مدري ايش البعبوع الايراني, ومدري ايش البترول رايح ينتهي...الخ. استمتعت بطريقة شرحك وحاب تشركني معك في الحوار اسلوب مميز وجميل من انسان مثقف. برضوا انا اشعر بانك تغالي بالامر اصلا الاسهم انتهت واظن اني سمعت بل قراءت ان دول اليورو رايح يفككوا العملة. اما الاسهم الخليجية بنظري انها لاينطبق عليها التحليل بكل انواعه لانها شركات معظمها وهمية وباسامي خيالية.

اختي مشاعل انا لما قلت عن تحسن الاسواق بشكل مباشر انما استوحيت ذلك من خبرتي بالتحليل وكما علمت منك انك درستي في بريطانيا التحليل الفني للفوركس والاسهم عامة فاني ومنذ عام 2003 اي بعد حرب الخليج الثانية وكان جميع المواد الاستهلاكية وبما فيها الذهب والبترول علي مستوى مهضوم ومحدد القيمة وتصير كل هذه الكمدتي اي الموات الاستهلاكية في مدى سعري ضيق الي ان انفجرت مابعد عام ال2004 . نلاحظ عندما انفجر سعر الذهب الي اعلي وخاصة قرابة نهاية عام 2005 ايضا راينا بدايات التصحيح في الاسواق الخليجية ومنها السعودية حيث كان المؤشر لامس ال20600 تقريبا ثم انهار من عنده. مما يحتم علينا القول ان السيولة المالية ومثلك اخبر وهي تعتبر القوة الدافعة سواء لاسفل او اعلي قد توجهت الي المواد الاستهلاكية ورايتي وراينا كيف ان سعر الذرة والقمح والبن قفزت كلها الي اسعار عالية فما بالك بالذهب والمعادن. الان السيولة قابعة فقط في الذهب من جراء التوتر الجيوسياسي ولكن لمتى تبقى الدورة الاقتصادية علي حالها نعرف نحن ان الدورة تكون مابين 3 الي 4 سنوات ونحن الان قد تعدينا هذا الناقوس او المستوى الزمني الخطير. طبعا في حال انهيار الذهب ستتجه السيولة العالمية مرة اخرى الي الاستثمار في الاسهم وغيرها من السندات الحكومية والخ.

انا لا اويد نظرتك التشائمية عن ان هناك تلاعب مابين الناس العادييين والهوامير ولكن دعينا نقول هناك تصفيات مراكز. ارجو ان تكون فكرتي قد وصلت لك بسهولة ولي تعقيب اخر لاحقا بمشئة الله.

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته : شكرا علي شان علمتني كيف استخدم الاطارات في الكتابة وهذا اول اطار ارسله لك استاذي القدير البرادي


اهلا استاذي القدير ومش رايح اقول لا البرادي ولا البرادعي وبدي كمان اشكرك علي سعة صدرك اخي. اقنعتني علي ان السيولة هي لازالت في الدهب طيب ممكن تزودني برايك عن هل ممكن تتخلى دول اليورو ويتفكك ويرجع مثل زمان الفرنك الفرنسي والعملات التانية. برضوا حابة تبين لي بالنسبة للماكد علي اي انترفال تستخدم يعني 3-9-24 يوم او في عندك استراتيجيات اخرة يعني ممكن كمان توضح لي نموذج الاصتدام والهروب او الراس والكتفين؟ بكون جدا شاكرة استاذي القدير وحاسة بظروفك وقلت وجود الوقت عندك بس يوووي كمان احب التحليل واحب المحللين واسلوبهم المدهش.